Employment shares of middle-skill occupations declined sharply
Middle-skill employment held steady until the global financial crisis
Changes in separation rates were large during the global financial crisis, but have mostly returned to pre-crisis levels
Outcomes for workers separating from middle-skill jobs remain stable
Middle-skill employment adjustment led by younger workers
Propensities to work in different skill groups have been driven by differential entry of younger cohorts
Middle-skill workers were workers without a tertiary degree
Male and female middle-skill workers were concentrated in manufacturing
Shrinking share of middle-skill employment due (slightly more) to diminished propensity to work more than changing composition
The propensity to work in middle-skill occupations fell for all workers without a tertiary degree
Women without a tertiary degree more likely to work in low-skill occupations
Men without a tertiary degree are also increasingly in low-skill occupations
Middle-educated men and women are only slightly more likely to work in high-skill occupations
Propensities to work in different skill groups mostly driven by differential entry of younger cohorts without a tertiary degree
Annex Figure 4.B.1. Attrition accounts for the majority of the decline in the share of middle-skill employment
Annex Figure 4.C.1. Education shares of the working-age population
Annex Figure 4.C.2. Alternative shift-share analysis
Annex Figure 4.C.3. Shares of low-education, prime-age workers in middle-skill employment
Annex Figure 4.C.4. Share of middle-educated, prime-age workers in middle-skill employment
Annex Figure 4.C.5. Share of low-educated, prime-age workers in low-skill employment
Annex Figure 4.C.6. Share of middle-educated, prime-age workers in low-skill employment
Annex Figure 4.C.7. Share of low-educated, prime-age workers in non-employment
Annex Figure 4.C.8. Share of middle-educated, prime-age workers in non-employment employment