Table of Contents

  • After five years of crisis, the global economy is weakening again. In this we are not facing a new pattern. Over the recent past, signs of emergence from the crisis have more than once given way to a renewed slowdown or even a double-dip recession in some countries. The risk of a new major contraction cannot be ruled out. A recession is ongoing in the euro area. The US economy is growing but performance remains below what was expected earlier this year. A slowdown has surfaced in many emerging market economies, partly reflecting the impact of the recession in Europe.

  • A hesitant and uneven recovery is projected over the next two years. Growth in the OECD area is set to be modest in the near term, with the euro area remaining in or close to recession until well into 2013. Headwinds stem from fiscal consolidation, household deleveraging in many countries and confidence at low levels. Although conditions differ by country, a quicker recovery is expected in the non-OECD area, in part reflecting the greater scope for policy stimulus.

  • This annex contains data on key economic series which provide a background to the recent economic developments in the OECD area described in the main body of this report. Data for 2012 to 2014 are OECD estimates and projections. The data in some of the tables have been adjusted to conform to internationally agreed concepts and definitions in order to make them more comparable across countries, as well as consistent with historical data shown in other OECD publications. Regional aggregates are based on weights that change each period, with the weights depending on the series considered. For details on aggregation, see OECD Economic Outlook Sources and Methods.