Global growth and confidence have moderated
Rising trade tensions have affected capital spending plans and added to uncertainty
Global growth is set to ease gradually
Global trade is slowing and trade intensity remains modest
The crisis has had a persistent impact on living standards
Potential output growth is projected to slow under current policies
Survey indicators point to rising capacity constraints
Wage growth could pick up quickly as labour markets tighten
Inflation is projected to rise modestly in the advanced economies
Tariffs are already visible in US trade and price data
The adverse effects of higher tariffs could intensify
Tariff and NTM estimates for selected economies
Price effects and regulatory similarity with partners
Supply disruptions could push up oil prices, with a negative impact on global activity
Financial tensions have risen in emerging-market economies
Financial and trade exposures to Argentina and Turkey are generally small
The output effect of higher risk premia in emerging-market economies
Fundamentals differ across emerging-market economies
Changes in financial conditions in emerging-market economies during past and recent turbulence
Several central banks have become dominant holders of domestic government bonds
Sovereign and bank riskiness have risen in Italy
Cost of bank credit and bank credit growth
Italian banks remain exposed to sovereign debt
Fiscal policy will be broadly neutral and government debt will fall in most OECD countries
Debt servicing costs could still decline in some G7 countries
GDP effects of selected structural reforms in G7 countries
An interaction of downside risks would slow global growth substantially
Policy options to offset a global cyclical downturn
Real median wages have decoupled from labour productivity
Average wages and productivity in frontier firms and others
'The Great Divergence(s)' in wages and productivity
High skills reduce capital-labour substitution
Fiscal and external balances, exchange rate: Argentina
Exports and housing market: Australia
Labour market and capacity constraints: Austria
Economic activity and public investment: Belgium
Activity, wages and inflation: Brazil
Fiscal stance and government expenditures: Brazil
House prices and hours worked: Canada
Capacity constraints and wages: Canada
Inflation and investment: Chile
Industrial production and trade: China
Banking system and corporate debt: China
Current account and Personal income tax: Colombia
Economic activity and fiscal sustainability: Costa Rica
Inflation and labour market: Czech Republic
Employment and current account: Denmark
Employment and competitiveness: Estonia
Labour market and financing conditions: Euro area
Inflation and fiscal stance: Euro area
Employment and governement debt: Finland
Labour market and consumption: France
Residential investment and public debt: France
Business sentiment and house prices: Germany
Labour market and wages: Germany
Budget, households financial conditions: Greece
Economic activity and capacity utilisation: Hungary
Economic activity, inflation: Iceland
Exports, investment and inflation: India
Current account and real effective exchange rate: India
Confidence and current account: Indonesia
Inflation and financial market conditions: Indonesia
Wages and lending: Ireland
Economic activity and labour market: Israel
Recovery and non performing loans: Italy
Fiscal stance and public debt: Italy
Labour market and wages: Japan
Budget and inflation: Japan
Employment and construction: Korea
Economic activity and labour market: Latvia
Labour market and credit and house prices: Lithuania
House prices and domestic demand: Luxembourg
Investment and energy prices: Mexico
Confidence and house prices: Netherlands
Business investment and migration and house prices: New Zealand
Growth and house prices: Norway
Capacity constraints and inflation: Poland
Labour market and housing investment: Portugal
Inflation and oil prices: Russia
Unemployment and fiscal policy: Russia
Labour market and car production: Slovak Republic
Capacity utilisation and inflation: Slovenia
Domestic demand and exchange rate: South Africa
Consumption, saving and government debt: Spain
Economic activity and house prices: Sweden
Manufacturing sector and inflation: Switzerland
Economic activity and exchange rate: Turkey
Economic growth and exports: United Kingdom
Labour market and wages: United Kingdom
Capacity utilisation and exports: United States
Budget deficit and inflation: United States