Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis
- Discontinued
- Is continued by :
- OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis
The Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis has been discontinued as of 24 June 2016. This journal was published jointly with CIRET from 2004 to 2015. For more information see www.ciret.org/jbcy.
- 3 times a year
- ISSN: 17293626 (online)
- https://doi.org/10.1787/17293626
Detecting Cyclical Turning Points
The ABCD Approach and Two Probabilistic Indicators
The intricate issue of detecting and forecasting macroeconomic cycles turning points has been once more perfectly illustrated with the global downturn experienced by most countries around the world in 2000-2001. Governments and Central Banks are very sensitive to economic indicators showing signs of deterioration in order to adjust their policies sufficiently in advance to avoid further deterioration or even a recession. These indicators require at least two qualities: they must be reliable and they must provide a readable signal as soon as possible. In this paper, we discuss ...
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