OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2014 Issue 2
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The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances. Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country.
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Growth will slow somewhat in 2015, and then recover only partially in 2016, as the shift of the EU VAT regime for e-commerce from the seller to the buyer country weakens export growth and higher VAT rates bear on demand. The higher VAT will also boost consumer prices, and backward-looking wage indexation could transmit price rises to wages.
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