OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2018 Issue 2
The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.
Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, a special chapter on the implications for public policy of the decoupling of wages from productivity and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country.
The Statistical Annex is available on-line only at https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_outlook-v22018-2-en
Italy
GDP growth is projected to be 0.9% in 2019 and 2020. Private consumption will moderate, as lower employment growth and rising consumer price inflation temper real household disposable income gains and offset the positive effect of expansionary fiscal policy. Business investment will slow as domestic and external demand growth weakens. With weak domestic demand, the current account surplus will remain around 2.5% of GDP.
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