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2020 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, a series of notes on the macroeconomic and structural policy issues related to the COVID-19 outbreak and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country.

English Also available in: German, French

Korea

Korea was among the first countries hit by COVID-19. Due to an effective strategy to contain the spread of the virus, the government limited the damage to the domestic economy and output is shrinking less than in any other OECD country. Nevertheless, private consumption is contracting, as households exercise caution and suffer from income losses. Unemployment is rising, particularly for non-regular workers. Real GDP is projected to decline by 1.2% in 2020 in the single-hit scenario and by 2.5% in the double-hit scenario. The global recession will hold back exports and investment, especially in the event of a second global wave of infections.

English Also available in: French

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