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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 1

The war in Ukraine is a major humanitarian crisis with associated economic shocks that threaten the post-pandemic recovery. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 1, highlights the implications and risks for growth, inflation and living standards from higher commodity prices and potential disruptions to energy and food supplies, and discusses the associated policy challenges.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macro-economic situation and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD Members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: Italian, French

Slovenia

GDP growth is projected to moderate to 4.6% in 2022 and 2.5% in 2023, in part reflecting the negative impact from the war in Ukraine. Domestic demand will be the main growth driver. The labour market is expected to remain tight, with historically high employment and low unemployment rates continuing to put pressure on wages. Together with high and rising fuel and food prices, this will lead to higher headline inflation. A major risk is that stronger wage growth could further raise inflation expectations and lead to a wage-price spiral.

English Also available in: French

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