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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

The global economy is facing mounting challenges amidst the largest energy market shock since the 1970s and the cost-of-living crisis for many households from rising inflation pressures. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2 highlights the unusually imbalanced and fragile outlook, the significant downside risks associated with energy market developments and rising financial vulnerabilities as interest rates are raised, and the associated policy challenges. Well-designed and timely policy actions are required to maintain economic stability, enhance energy security and strengthen the prospects for future growth.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: French

France

Real GDP is projected to grow by 2.6% in 2022, 0.6% in 2023 and 1.2% in 2024. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, supply chain disruptions and elevated energy prices have dented economic prospects. Inflation is expected to reach 5.9% in 2022, 5.7% in 2023 and 2.7% in 2024, lowering household purchasing power and consumption growth. The decline in business and household confidence, weaker global economic conditions and high uncertainty will hold back investment and exports. Wages are accelerating, owing to recent labour market improvements and the indexation of the minimum wage. Yet, with slowing growth and declining employment, the unemployment rate will rise to 8.1% in 2024.

English Also available in: French

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