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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

The global economy is facing mounting challenges amidst the largest energy market shock since the 1970s and the cost-of-living crisis for many households from rising inflation pressures. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2 highlights the unusually imbalanced and fragile outlook, the significant downside risks associated with energy market developments and rising financial vulnerabilities as interest rates are raised, and the associated policy challenges. Well-designed and timely policy actions are required to maintain economic stability, enhance energy security and strengthen the prospects for future growth.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: French

Romania

Output growth of 6.5% is projected for 2022, largely reflecting a strong recovery from the economic impact of COVID-19 early in the year. Quarterly growth in the second half of 2022 is being damped by the effects of high inflation on consumption and reduced foreign demand on exports. Output growth will gradually strengthen as these effects diminish. Increased inflows of EU funds will provide additional impetus to investment. Real GDP growth is projected at 1.4% in 2023 and 2.8% in 2024. Uncertainty about commodity prices and energy supply relating to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine is a key risk.

English Also available in: French

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