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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

The global economy is facing mounting challenges amidst the largest energy market shock since the 1970s and the cost-of-living crisis for many households from rising inflation pressures. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2 highlights the unusually imbalanced and fragile outlook, the significant downside risks associated with energy market developments and rising financial vulnerabilities as interest rates are raised, and the associated policy challenges. Well-designed and timely policy actions are required to maintain economic stability, enhance energy security and strengthen the prospects for future growth.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: French

United Kingdom

Following a contraction of 0.4% in 2023, GDP is projected to increase by 0.2% in 2024. Consumer price inflation will peak at around 10% in late 2022 due to high energy prices and continuing labour and goods supply shortages, before gradually declining to 2.7% by the end of 2024. Private consumption is expected to slow owing to rising living costs, but will be aided by a 9.7% increase in the minimum wage and the usual uprating of welfare benefits and pensions in April 2023. Public investment is set to rebound in 2023 and 2024 as supply bottlenecks ease, in line with government plans. The unemployment rate is expected to rise to 5% by the end of 2024.

English Also available in: French

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