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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

The global economy is facing mounting challenges amidst the largest energy market shock since the 1970s and the cost-of-living crisis for many households from rising inflation pressures. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2 highlights the unusually imbalanced and fragile outlook, the significant downside risks associated with energy market developments and rising financial vulnerabilities as interest rates are raised, and the associated policy challenges. Well-designed and timely policy actions are required to maintain economic stability, enhance energy security and strengthen the prospects for future growth.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: French

China

Economic growth will slow to 3.3% in 2022 and rebound to 4.6% in 2023 and 4.1% in 2024. The emergence of the omicron variant has led to recurring waves of lockdowns in 2022, disrupting economic activity. Amid mounting headwinds, growth will be held up by infrastructure investment and supportive measures that moderate the correction in the real estate sector. A pick-up in precautionary savings, spurred by low consumer confidence coupled with inadequate social protection, is holding back a rebalancing of demand towards consumption. Export growth will remain low amid weaker global growth prospects before picking up in 2024. Despite recent fresh food price rises, consumer price inflation will remain benign due to the current measures to manage energy and food prices.

English Also available in: French

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