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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

Confronting the Crisis

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

The global economy is facing mounting challenges amidst the largest energy market shock since the 1970s and the cost-of-living crisis for many households from rising inflation pressures. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2 highlights the unusually imbalanced and fragile outlook, the significant downside risks associated with energy market developments and rising financial vulnerabilities as interest rates are raised, and the associated policy challenges. Well-designed and timely policy actions are required to maintain economic stability, enhance energy security and strengthen the prospects for future growth.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: French

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GDP growth will slow from 2.4% in 2022 to -0.1% in 2023, before picking up to 2.4% in 2024. Higher energy and commodity prices and supply disruptions to gas and oil imports from Russia have triggered steep rises in the cost of living and a risk of energy shortages. Lower global growth, persistent constraints in global supply chains and tight financing conditions will hold back activity in 2023. Inflation will start subsiding in 2023 but will remain well above the 2% target. The unemployment rate will remain low, at under 3%.

English Also available in: French

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