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2024 OECD Economic Surveys: Egypt 2024

image of OECD Economic Surveys: Egypt 2024

Growth has held up better in Egypt than in neighbouring countries until recently but inflation has reached very high levels and financing conditions have tightened along with foreign currency shortages. In this context, Egypt is stepping up economic reform efforts. The exchange rate needs to become more flexible with monetary policy geared to bring inflation down to target. High public debt makes Egypt more vulnerable to external shocks. Committing to a credible consolidation strategy is key to restore public finance health, which would improve investor confidence and thereby reduce debt servicing costs. While expanding cash transfers to the most vulnerable, broad-based energy subsidies should be phased out, which would also reduce emissions. As public investment has expanded substantially, further efforts to rationalise large-scale construction projects should be pursued, while allocating resources to green investment. To revive private sector growth, the regulatory burden and the state footprint ought to be reduced, and ongoing reforms including the divestment plan should be implemented fully and effectively. As the working-age population will expand with a rising education level, younger generations need to be better integrated into the labour market. This requires reducing labour taxation, enhancing public employment support and better aligning skills to labour market needs.

SPECIAL FEATURES: IMPROVING THE BUSINESS CLIMATE TO REVIVE PRIVATE SECTOR GROWTH; PROMOTING BETTER-QUALITY JOB CREATION FOR INCLUSIVE GROWTH

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Introduction

Over the past few years, Egypt has embarked on economic reforms to promote strong, inclusive and sustainable growth (Box 1.1) and to resume faster convergence with the more advanced economies, following a lull in the early 2010s (Box 1.2). Egypt Vision 2030 sets national objectives in line with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. A series of programmes have been spelled out to help achieve these objectives, including the Economic Reform Programme (2016-19) and the National Structural Reform Programme (2021-24), with a view to enhance the productive capacity of the economy and to boost competitiveness and employment opportunities. The National Structural Reform Programme is comprehensive, covering a number of priority policy areas, in particular, reducing the state footprint, facilitating private sector activity, promoting a green and circular economy, reforming the labour market and expanding social protection.

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