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2022 OECD Economic Surveys: Romania 2022

image of OECD Economic Surveys: Romania 2022

Over the last two decades, Romania has converged rapidly towards the OECD average income per capita. Its economy has also proved resilient: after a deep contraction in 2020 triggered by the coronavirus pandemic, activity has rebounded fast. However, short and medium term challenges remain. The recent surge in inflation and the new pandemic wave require prudent macroeconomic policies. Eventually, fiscal sustainability needs to improve to cope with ageing. Productivity levels remain well below the OECD average, calling for reducing competition barriers, raising human capital, enhancing the regulatory framework, and improving transport infrastructure. Romania should seize the opportunity provided by the NextGeneration EU plan to boost investments for the green and digital transitions. Poverty remains high and some groups have difficulties to join the labour market. Active labour market policies need to be reinforced and access to training is a pre-requisite for addressing skills shortages. Finally, pursuing convergence to the highest OECD standards requires improving the rule of law and fighting corruption.

SPECIAL FEATURES: STRENGTHENING THE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT FOR PRODUCTIVITY CONVERGENCE; IMPROVING LABOUR MARKET CONDITIONS FOR STRONGER AND INCLUSIVE GROWTH

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Key Policy Insights

Romania’s economic performance in recent years has been impressive. GDP per capita has reached 63% of the OECD average in 2019, from around 30% in the early 2000s (, Panel A & B). After being hit hard by the global financial crisis and before the outset of the coronavirus pandemic, Romania’s convergence in living standards progressed rapidly, with GDP and productivity growth rates persistently exceeding the OECD average supported by strong capital accumulation and efficiency gains (, Panel C). Labour market conditions improved, with the unemployment rate reaching a historically low level in 2019 and wages converging to EU average standards. Inflation, which was very high in the early 2000’s, has slowed down since 2000 (, Panel D).

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