1887

OECD Economics Department Working Papers

Working papers from the Economics Department of the OECD that cover the full range of the Department’s work including the economic situation, policy analysis and projections; fiscal policy, public expenditure and taxation; and structural issues including ageing, growth and productivity, migration, environment, human capital, housing, trade and investment, labour markets, regulatory reform, competition, health, and other issues.

The views expressed in these papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the OECD or of the governments of its member countries.

English, French

Risks and opportunities of reshaping global value chains

The paper reviews selected implications of trade integration via global value chains (GVC) and identifies gaps in understanding of GVC risks. Despite recent significant progress, many GVC risks remain unknown. The paper also discusses pros and cons of possible strategies to minimise GVC risks and specific measures that are debated in the literature. None of the proposed strategies is a silver bullet and best measures are likely to vary across products and sectors. Most actions to improve resilience lie with firms rather than governments. There is less controversy about governments taking a more proactive role in co-ordinating data collection, analysing GVC risks and collaborating with private firms to promote standards of conduct. In contrast, there is less agreement about governments using financial incentives, regulatory requirements and direct government control to reshape GVCs. Government intervention risks creating costly distortions without minimising economic volatility and improving national security, and making international co-operation regarding social and environmental goals more difficult.

English

Keywords: national security, globalisation, resilience, diversification, strategic dependency, international trade, global value chains, friend-shoring, re-shoring
JEL: F52: International Economics / International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy / National Security; Economic Nationalism; F13: International Economics / Trade / Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations; F12: International Economics / Trade / Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation; F51: International Economics / International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy / International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions; F10: International Economics / Trade / Trade: General
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