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Is the German Middle Class Crumbling? Risks and Opportunities

image of Is the German Middle Class Crumbling? Risks and Opportunities

Thriving middle classes are the backbone of democratic societies and strong economies, but in many countries, they face mounting pressure as their economic strength is eroding relative to higher-income households. Real wages and incomes for most middle-class households have grown only very slowly, and rising expenditures have been putting further pressure on living standards. Meanwhile, globalisation, digitalisation, and demographic change are eroding job opportunities for middle-skilled workers, who risk sliding into lower-paid employment. The COVID-19 crisis has accentuated socio-economic divides and may end up accelerating some of the above trends. This publication builds upon the OECD’s publications on the middle class (Under Pressure: The Squeezed Middle Class) and social mobility (A Broken Social Elevator? How to Promote Social Mobility). It demonstrates that the German middle class is similar in size as in peer countries, but substantially smaller than it was in the mid-1990s. Lower middle‑class households face an increased risk of slipping out of the middle; meanwhile, upward mobility into the middle has declined, particularly for workers in “typical” middle-class occupations. Employment growth forecasts point to further occupational polarisation. The review proposes policy options for strengthening the employability of middle-class workers, creating good-quality, future-oriented jobs, and boosting middle‑class disposable incomes.

English

Assessment and policy options

This chapter gives an overview of the main findings presented in this report. It starts by presenting trends in the size and composition of Germany’s middle class since the mid-1990s. It then discusses the major labour market developments for middle-class workers in Germany, looking at changes in occupational structure, the incidence of non-standard work, developments during the COVID-19 crisis, and projected employment trends. The chapter proceeds by providing an overview of trends in income mobility in Germany, focusing on the risks and opportunities of middle‑income people as well as on the chances for low‑income people of rising into the middle. The final section discusses policies to strengthen Germany’s middle class by raising the employability of middle‑class workers, creating good-quality, future-oriented jobs, and boosting middle‑class disposable incomes.

English

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