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OECD Employment Outlook 2024

The Net-Zero Transition and the Labour Market

image of OECD Employment Outlook 2024

The transition to net-zero emissions by 2050 will have profound impacts on the labour market and the jobs of millions of workers. Aggregate effects on employment are estimated to be limited. But many jobs will be lost in the shrinking high-emission industries, while many others will be created in the expanding low-emission activities. This edition of the OECD Employment Outlook examines the characteristics of the jobs that are likely to thrive because of the transition (“green-driven jobs”), including their attractiveness in terms of job quality, and compares them to jobs in high-emission industries that tend to shrink. The cost of job displacement in these latter industries is assessed along with the trajectories of workers out of them towards new opportunities, and the labour market policies that can facilitate job reallocation. Particular attention is devoted to upskilling and reskilling strategies to facilitate workers’ transition into fast-growing, green-driven occupations. The distributive impacts of climate-change mitigation policies are also examined, with a focus on carbon pricing and options to redistribute its tax revenue to those most impacted. As usual, the first chapter of the Outlook assesses recent labour market developments (including wage trends), but also provides an update of the OECD Job Quality indicators.

English Also available in: French

Editoriale: Dalla paura all'azione: porre le politiche sociali e del lavoro al centro della transizione verso la neutralità climatica

La transizione verde verso una società sostenibile dal punto di vista ambientale costituisce, in sostanza, una scelta politica. L'Accordo di Parigi sul clima, siglato nel 2015, ha rappresentato il momento in cui il mondo si è riunito per operare questa scelta, rispondendo alla sfida politica più improcrastinabile dei nostri tempi. A quasi dieci anni di distanza, siamo consapevoli che per invertire i cambiamenti climatici occorrerà operare un maggior numero di scelte a livello locale, nazionale e internazionale. Inoltre, è ormai evidente che per salvaguardare il pianeta è necessario impegnarsi contestualmente a prendersi cura delle persone affette dalla transizione verde.

Italian Also available in: English, French

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