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World Energy Outlook 2021

image of World Energy Outlook 2021

Against the backdrop of turbulent markets and a crucial meeting of the COP26 conference on climate change in Glasgow, the 2021 World Energy Outlook (WEO) provides an indispensable guide to the opportunities, benefits and risks ahead at this vital moment for clean energy transitions.

The WEO is the energy world’s most authoritative source of analysis and projections. This flagship publication of the IEA has appeared every year since 1998. Its objective data and dispassionate analysis provide critical insights into global energy supply and demand in different scenarios and the implications for energy security, climate targets and economic development.

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The ambition gap to 1.5 °C

Announced net zero pledges and updated Nationally Determined Contributions have been fully incorporated into the IEA’s new Announced Pledges Scenario (APS). The APS closes less than 20% of the gap in 2030 between the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) and the Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario (NZE), leaving an “ambition gap” of 12 gigatonnes (Gt) CO2 that needs to be closed to put the world on the pathway to reach net zero emissions by 2050. Including fossil fuel methane emissions increasesthe gap to 14 gigatonnes of carbon‐dioxide equivalent (Gt CO2‐eq).

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