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Assessing the Economic Impacts of Environmental Policies

Evidence from a Decade of OECD Research

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Over the past decades, governments have gradually adopted more rigorous environmental policies to tackle challenges associated with pressing environmental issues, such as climate change. The ambition of these policies is, however, often tempered by their perceived negative effects on the economy. The empirical evidence in this volume – covering a decade of OECD analysis – shows that environmental policies have had relatively small effects on economic outcomes such as employment, investment, trade and productivity. At the same time, they have been effective at reducing emissions from industry. The policies can however generate winners and losers across firms, industries and regions: while the least productive firms from high-polluting sectors are adversely affected, more productive firms and low-pollution sectors benefit. Environmental policies can be designed and combined with other policies to compensate workers and industries that may lose and to emphasise their positive impacts.

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Foreword

Policy makers have long been conscious of the consequences of environmental degradation and the COVID-19 pandemic has further raised and renewed awareness of the inherent fragilities of our environment. Yet, their ambition to address environmental challenges such as climate change, pollution and biodiversity loss has often been held back by the perceived immediate costs of more stringent environmental policies on people and firms. Businesses and policy makers alike fear that differences in the stringency of environmental policies across countries would negatively affect the competitiveness of firms located in the most ambitious regions. Pollution-intensive production would shift towards countries or regions with less stringent regulations, altering the location of industrial production and the subsequent international trade and investment flows – and potentially curbing the environmental gains. These fears are particularly apparent in the case of climate change mitigation, where a large gap exists between globally stated ambitions – as laid out in the 2015 Paris Agreement – and the climate policies actually adopted around the world.

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