Policy Scenarios for Eliminating Plastic Pollution by 2040
Plastics provide multiple benefits to society, but their lifecycle − from feedstock extraction and polymer production to use and disposal − contributes to pollution, climate change and biodiversity loss. Current policies are inadequate to meaningfully alter trends in plastic flows and related pollution.
This report provides insights into the potential environmental benefits and economic consequences of different levels of international policy ambition towards ending plastic pollution by 2040. Based on the quantification of the main drivers of plastics production and use, waste and pollution, the report provides projections of the plastics lifecycle, waste generation and treatment, as well as related leakage to the environment. The report presents and contrasts a range of policy scenarios with varying levels of ambition in terms of the stringency, lifecycle scope and geographical coverage of policies implemented. Its findings can inform a critical stage of international negotiations to develop a legally binding agreement to end plastic pollution.
Also available in: French
Implications of policy scenarios with partial ambition
This chapter explores modelling scenarios with partial global ambition, defined in terms of limited policy stringency, partial coverage of the policies along the lifecycle of plastics, or incomplete global geographical coverage of policy measures. It presents projections of the plastics lifecycle for each scenario, highlighting that policy action can significantly reduce plastics use and environmental impacts below levels expected in the Baseline scenario by 2040, but all partial ambition scenarios presented in this chapter fall short of eliminating the leakage of plastics to the environment.
Also available in: French
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