OECD Economics Department Working Papers
Working papers from the Economics Department of the OECD that cover the full range of the Department’s work including the economic situation, policy analysis and projections; fiscal policy, public expenditure and taxation; and structural issues including ageing, growth and productivity, migration, environment, human capital, housing, trade and investment, labour markets, regulatory reform, competition, health, and other issues.
The views expressed in these papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the OECD or of the governments of its member countries.
- Forthcoming titles
- ISSN : 18151973 (en ligne)
- https://doi.org/10.1787/18151973
Infrastructure and Growth
Empirical Evidence
Investment in network infrastructure can boost long-term economic growth in OECD countries. Moreover,
infrastructure investment can have a positive effect on growth that goes beyond the effect of the capital
stock because of economies of scale, the existence of network externalities and competition enhancing
effects. This paper, which is part of a project examining the links between infrastructure and growth and
the role of public policies, reports the results on the links with growth from a variety of econometric
approaches. Time-series results reveal a positive impact of infrastructure investment on growth. They also
show that this effect varies across countries and sectors and over time. In some cases, these results reveal
evidence of possible over-investment, which may be related to inefficient use of infrastructure. Bayesian
model averaging of cross-section growth regressions confirm that infrastructure investment in
telecommunications and the electricity sectors has a robust positive effect on long-term growth (but not in
railways and road networks). Furthermore, this effect is highly nonlinear as the impact is stronger if the
physical stock is lower.
Mots-clés: infrastructure, economic growth, Bayesian model averaging, co-integration, network industry, investment
JEL:
E22: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics / Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy / Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity;
O11: Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth / Economic Development / Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development;
O40: Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth / Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity / Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
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