Sélectionner | Date Date | Titre Titre | |||
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No. 1780 | 12 Dec 2023 |
Doombot: a machine learning algorithm for predicting downturns in OECD countries
This paper describes an algorithm, “DoomBot”, which selects parsimonious models to predict downturns over different quarterly horizons covering the ensuing two years for 20 OECD countries. The models are country- and horizon-specific and are... |
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No. 1779 | 12 Dec 2023 |
The law of the strongest? Exploring the drivers of firm performance during the COVID-19 crisis
Using data on more than 150.000 non-financial companies operating in both manufacturing and services sectors around the world, we analyse the drivers of firm performance throughout the whole COVID cycle (until end 2021). We highlight three key... |
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No. 1778 | 05 Dec 2023 |
Climate policies and Sweden’s green industrial revolution
Sweden is among OECD best performers in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, much thanks to a comprehensive policy framework and relatively efficient policies. There is nonetheless room to further improve consistency of targets and policies, notably... |
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No. 1777 | 20 Nov 2023 |
Accelerating the EU’s green transition
The EU’s ambitious Green Deal aims at achieving net zero emissions by 2050. The EU is starting from a relatively good position. It has successfully reduced greenhouse gas emissions over the past decade. But further efforts are needed to reach the net... |
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No. 1776 | 20 Nov 2023 |
Promoting gender equality to strengthen economic growth and resilience
Women’s employment rates and wages are still lagging those of men across OECD countries, with average employment and wage gaps now around 15% and 12% respectively. Gaps narrowed at a relatively modest pace over the past decade, calling for further... |
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No. 1776 | 24 Nov 2023 |
Promouvoir l'égalité des genres pour renforcer la croissance économique et la résilience
Les taux d'emploi et les salaires des femmes restent inférieurs à ceux des hommes dans les pays de l'OCDE, avec des écarts moyens d'emploi et de salaire désormais autour de 15% et 12% respectivement. Les écarts se sont réduits à un rythme... |
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No. 1775 | 20 Nov 2023 |
Economic effects of the EU’s ‘Fit for 55’ climate mitigation policies: A computable general equilibrium analysis
This study analyses the economic effects of the EU's ‘Fit for 55’ climate mitigation policies using the OECD ENV-Linkage model, a dynamic, global Computable General Equilibrium model. The model projects macroeconomic, sectoral, energy and emission... |
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No. 1774 | 13 Nov 2023 |
The cost of job loss in carbon-intensive sectors: Evidence from Germany
The green transformation of the economy is expected to lead to a sharp reduction in employment in carbon-intensive industries. For designing policies to support displaced workers, it is crucial to better understand the cost of job loss, whether there... |
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No. 1773 | 06 Nov 2023 |
Environmental policy stringency and CO2 emissions
This paper provides empirical evidence on the short and long-term sectoral effect of environmental policy stringency on CO2 emissions, exploiting longitudinal data covering 30 OECD countries and more than 50 sectors. The analysis relies on the OECD... |
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No. 1772 | 03 Nov 2023 |
Immigration in Iceland
Immigration has increased rapidly since the late 1990s, driven largely by strong economic growth and high standards of living. By mid-2023, foreign citizens made up around 18% of the population. This has brought important economic benefits to... |
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No. 1771 | 22 Aug 2023 |
Lifting labour supply to tackle tightness in the Netherlands
The Dutch labour market is strong but very tight. The unprecedently fast recovery from the pandemic, fast-changing skill demand, low hours worked, and the segmentation of the labour market contribute to labour shortages, weighing on growth potential... |
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No. 1770 | 07 Aug 2023 |
Unleashing strong, digital and green growth in Viet Nam
Viet Nam has been quick to recover from the downturns caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, but it faces long-term economic challenges. Boosting labour productivity will be crucial to sustained high economic growth. Attracting further foreign investment... |
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No. 1769 | 04 Aug 2023 |
Institutional shareholding, common ownership and productivity
The increase in institutional ownership, the shift towards passive portfolio management and the rise of common ownership have transformed OECD countries financial markets in the last decades. The paper investigates the potential consequences of these... |
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No. 1768 | 17 Jul 2023 |
Reaching net zero while safeguarding competitiveness and social cohesion in Germany
Germany intends to reach climate neutrality in 2045, tripling the speed of emission reductions that was achieved between 1990 and 2019. Soaring energy prices and the need to replace Russian energy imports have amplified the urgency to act. Various... |
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No. 1767 | 10 Jul 2023 |
Digitalisation and the labour market: Worker-level evidence from Slovenia
This paper provides evidence on the effects of digitalisation on the labour market in Slovenia using a unique dataset of Slovenian workers and firms for the years 2016 to 2020. Results show that at the firm level, digitalisation – measured in terms... |
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No. 1766 | 10 Jul 2023 |
COVID-19 and productivity-enhancing digitalisation: Firm-level evidence from Slovenia
This paper provides evidence on the impact of digitalisation on productivity in Slovenia during the COVID-19 crisis. The pandemic affected overall labour productivity negatively. Nonetheless, results show that firms that were more ICT-intensive... |
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No. 1765 | 19 Jul 2023 |
How does corporate taxation affect business investment?
Business investment in OECD countries has remained weak, in particular since the 2008 global financial crisis. At the same time, the cost of capital has significantly and steadily decreased over the last thirty years, reflecting a fall in both... |
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No. 1764 | 10 Jul 2023 |
Improving the business regulatory environment in Poland
A competition-friendly business regulatory environment is essential for the well-functioning of markets. It ensures that important policy goals are addressed, and market failures tackled. However, regulation can also create barriers to the entry and... |
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No. 1763 | 04 Jul 2023 |
Doing green things: skills, reallocation, and the green transition
The need to rapidly decarbonise economies raises questions about whether countries’ workforces possess the requisite skills to achieve the net zero transition as well as the capacity to redeploy workers from “brown” to “green” jobs. This paper... |
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No. 1762 | 23 Jun 2023 |
Risks and opportunities of reshaping global value chains
The paper reviews selected implications of trade integration via global value chains (GVC) and identifies gaps in understanding of GVC risks. Despite recent significant progress, many GVC risks remain unknown. The paper also discusses pros and cons... |
- Accueil
- Périodiques
- OECD Economics Department Working Papers
OECD Economics Department Working Papers
The views expressed in these papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the OECD or of the governments of its member countries.
Anglais, Français
- ISSN : 18151973 (en ligne)
- https://doi.org/10.1787/18151973
41 - 60 of 1847 results
Doombot: a machine learning algorithm for predicting downturns in OECD countries
Thomas Chalaux et David Turner
12 Dec 2023
This paper describes an algorithm, “DoomBot”, which selects parsimonious models to predict downturns over different quarterly horizons covering the ensuing two years for 20 OECD countries. The models are country- and horizon-specific and are...
The law of the strongest? Exploring the drivers of firm performance during the COVID-19 crisis
Guido Franco, Mauricio Hitschfeld, Álvaro Pina et Damien Puy
12 Dec 2023
Using data on more than 150.000 non-financial companies operating in both manufacturing and services sectors around the world, we analyse the drivers of firm performance throughout the whole COVID cycle (until end 2021). We highlight three key...
Climate policies and Sweden’s green industrial revolution
Jon Pareliussen et Axel Purwin
05 Dec 2023
Sweden is among OECD best performers in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, much thanks to a comprehensive policy framework and relatively efficient policies. There is nonetheless room to further improve consistency of targets and policies, notably...
Accelerating the EU’s green transition
Martin Borowiecki, Joaquín Calvo Giménez, Federico Giovannelli et Francesco Vanni
20 Nov 2023
The EU’s ambitious Green Deal aims at achieving net zero emissions by 2050. The EU is starting from a relatively good position. It has successfully reduced greenhouse gas emissions over the past decade. But further efforts are needed to reach the net...
Promoting gender equality to strengthen economic growth and resilience
Christophe André, Orsetta Causa, Emilia Soldani, Douglas Sutherland et Filiz Unsal
20 Nov 2023
Women’s employment rates and wages are still lagging those of men across OECD countries, with average employment and wage gaps now around 15% and 12% respectively. Gaps narrowed at a relatively modest pace over the past decade, calling for further...
Promouvoir l'égalité des genres pour renforcer la croissance économique et la résilience
Christophe André, Orsetta Causa, Emilia Soldani, Douglas Sutherland et Filiz Unsal
24 Nov 2023
Les taux d'emploi et les salaires des femmes restent inférieurs à ceux des hommes dans les pays de l'OCDE, avec des écarts moyens d'emploi et de salaire désormais autour de 15% et 12% respectivement. Les écarts se sont réduits à un rythme...
Economic effects of the EU’s ‘Fit for 55’ climate mitigation policies: A computable general equilibrium analysis
Jean Chateau, Antonela Miho et Martin Borowiecki
20 Nov 2023
This study analyses the economic effects of the EU's ‘Fit for 55’ climate mitigation policies using the OECD ENV-Linkage model, a dynamic, global Computable General Equilibrium model. The model projects macroeconomic, sectoral, energy and emission...
The cost of job loss in carbon-intensive sectors: Evidence from Germany
Cesar Barreto, Robert Grundke et Zeev Krill
13 Nov 2023
The green transformation of the economy is expected to lead to a sharp reduction in employment in carbon-intensive industries. For designing policies to support displaced workers, it is crucial to better understand the cost of job loss, whether there...
Environmental policy stringency and CO2 emissions
Erik Frohm, Filippo Maria D’Arcangelo, Tobias Kruse, Mauro Pisu et Urban Sila
06 Nov 2023
This paper provides empirical evidence on the short and long-term sectoral effect of environmental policy stringency on CO2 emissions, exploiting longitudinal data covering 30 OECD countries and more than 50 sectors. The analysis relies on the OECD...
Immigration in Iceland
Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou
03 Nov 2023
Immigration has increased rapidly since the late 1990s, driven largely by strong economic growth and high standards of living. By mid-2023, foreign citizens made up around 18% of the population. This has brought important economic benefits to...
Lifting labour supply to tackle tightness in the Netherlands
Nicolas Gonne
22 Aug 2023
The Dutch labour market is strong but very tight. The unprecedently fast recovery from the pandemic, fast-changing skill demand, low hours worked, and the segmentation of the labour market contribute to labour shortages, weighing on growth potential...
Unleashing strong, digital and green growth in Viet Nam
Patrick Lenain, Ben Westmore, Quoc Huy Vu et Minh Cuong Nguyen
07 Aug 2023
Viet Nam has been quick to recover from the downturns caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, but it faces long-term economic challenges. Boosting labour productivity will be crucial to sustained high economic growth. Attracting further foreign investment...
Institutional shareholding, common ownership and productivity
Maria Bas, Lilas Demmou, Guido Franco et Javier Garcia-Bernardo
04 Aug 2023
The increase in institutional ownership, the shift towards passive portfolio management and the rise of common ownership have transformed OECD countries financial markets in the last decades. The paper investigates the potential consequences of these...
Reaching net zero while safeguarding competitiveness and social cohesion in Germany
Zeev Krill, Robert Grundke et Marius Bickmann
17 Jul 2023
Germany intends to reach climate neutrality in 2045, tripling the speed of emission reductions that was achieved between 1990 and 2019. Soaring energy prices and the need to replace Russian energy imports have amplified the urgency to act. Various...
Digitalisation and the labour market: Worker-level evidence from Slovenia
Antonela Miho, Martin Borowiecki et Jens Høj
10 Jul 2023
This paper provides evidence on the effects of digitalisation on the labour market in Slovenia using a unique dataset of Slovenian workers and firms for the years 2016 to 2020. Results show that at the firm level, digitalisation – measured in terms...
COVID-19 and productivity-enhancing digitalisation: Firm-level evidence from Slovenia
Martin Borowiecki, Federico Giovannelli et Jens Høj
10 Jul 2023
This paper provides evidence on the impact of digitalisation on productivity in Slovenia during the COVID-19 crisis. The pandemic affected overall labour productivity negatively. Nonetheless, results show that firms that were more ICT-intensive...
How does corporate taxation affect business investment?
Tibor Hanappi, Valentine Millot et Sébastien Turban
19 Jul 2023
Business investment in OECD countries has remained weak, in particular since the 2008 global financial crisis. At the same time, the cost of capital has significantly and steadily decreased over the last thirty years, reflecting a fall in both...
Improving the business regulatory environment in Poland
Javier Terrero-Dávila, Cristiana Vitale et Eszter Danitz
10 Jul 2023
A competition-friendly business regulatory environment is essential for the well-functioning of markets. It ensures that important policy goals are addressed, and market failures tackled. However, regulation can also create barriers to the entry and...
Doing green things: skills, reallocation, and the green transition
Stefanos Tyros, Dan Andrews et Alain de Serres
04 Jul 2023
The need to rapidly decarbonise economies raises questions about whether countries’ workforces possess the requisite skills to achieve the net zero transition as well as the capacity to redeploy workers from “brown” to “green” jobs. This paper...
Risks and opportunities of reshaping global value chains
David Crowe et Łukasz Rawdanowicz
23 Jun 2023
The paper reviews selected implications of trade integration via global value chains (GVC) and identifies gaps in understanding of GVC risks. Despite recent significant progress, many GVC risks remain unknown. The paper also discusses pros and cons...