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2020 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, a series of notes on the macroeconomic and structural policy issues related to the COVID-19 outbreak and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country.

English Also available in: German, French

Slovak Republic

The economy will be hit hard by the current crisis, even if the country has so far successfully managed to contain the pandemic. Plummeting world trade and massive disruption to global value chains will hurt the export‑dependent manufacturing sector. In case of a new outbreak later this year (the double‑hit scenario), GDP will fall by more than 11% in 2020. GDP will contract by 9.3% if the current outbreak subsides and another wave is avoided (the single‑hit scenario). The recovery will be hampered by heightened uncertainty and high unemployment.

English Also available in: French

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