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2023 OECD Economic Surveys: Croatia 2023

image of OECD Economic Surveys: Croatia 2023

Croatia has navigated well the COVID-19 crisis and the price shocks following Russia’s war of aggression on Ukraine. It has achieved robust output growth, rising employment and improving well-being, although inflation has surged. Integration into the euro- and Schengen areas at the start of 2023 are testament to progress, and are providing a further fillip to the economy. Ensuring that fiscal policy is counter-cyclical and that lending supports productive investments can help contain inflationary pressures and sustain growth. Croatia’s ongoing and ambitious reforms and investments must continue for incomes to converge with OECD levels while also preparing for climate change. Reducing regulatory burdens, more responsive judicial processes, addressing corruption risks and improving the performance of state-owned enterprises can foster a more dynamic business environment with stronger growth by higher productivity firms. A big push to strengthen adults’ skills would ensure that employers can fill high-skilled positions and support rising incomes. Better engaging younger adults in work, encouraging older adults to work until the full retirement age, and attracting needed skills through immigration would reduce poverty risks, raise productivity and help Croatia adapt to an ageing population.

SPECIAL FEATURES: IMPROVING THE BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT; A BETTER PERFORMING LABOUR MARKET

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Achieving sustainable convergence

Croatia has undertaken many reforms and investments in recent decades to raise incomes and well-being. Following a protracted recession in the early 2010s, growth picked up and, despite the disruption from COVID-19 and the energy price crisis, GDP per capita is converging (Figure 1.1). Moreover, over the past decade, employment has risen, helping to reduce poverty rates. Environmental quality improved, many public services were upgraded and laws and regulations modernised. With this progress, Croatia compares well with OECD countries on many dimensions, ranging from business start-ups, renewables in the energy mix, gender equality in the workforce to life satisfaction among youth (Figure 1.1, Panel E).

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