OECD Employment Outlook 2024
The Net-Zero Transition and the Labour Market
![image of OECD Employment Outlook 2024 image of OECD Employment Outlook 2024](https://assets.oecdcode.org/covers/100/ac8b3538.jpg)
The transition to net-zero emissions by 2050 will have profound impacts on the labour market and the jobs of millions of workers. Aggregate effects on employment are estimated to be limited. But many jobs will be lost in the shrinking high-emission industries, while many others will be created in the expanding low-emission activities. This edition of the OECD Employment Outlook examines the characteristics of the jobs that are likely to thrive because of the transition (“green-driven jobs”), including their attractiveness in terms of job quality, and compares them to jobs in high-emission industries that tend to shrink. The cost of job displacement in these latter industries is assessed along with the trajectories of workers out of them towards new opportunities, and the labour market policies that can facilitate job reallocation. Particular attention is devoted to upskilling and reskilling strategies to facilitate workers’ transition into fast-growing, green-driven occupations. The distributive impacts of climate-change mitigation policies are also examined, with a focus on carbon pricing and options to redistribute its tax revenue to those most impacted. As usual, the first chapter of the Outlook assesses recent labour market developments (including wage trends), but also provides an update of the OECD Job Quality indicators.
Zusammenfassung
Die Arbeitsmärkte haben sich im vergangenen Jahr weiter gut entwickelt. Viele OECD-Länder ver-zeichneten ein historisch hohes Beschäftigungsniveau und eine niedrige Arbeitslosigkeit. In den meisten Ländern haben sich die Erwerbstätigenquoten von Frauen im Vergleich zu vor der Pandemie stärker verbessert als die von Männern. Die Erwerbsquoten sind, von wenigen Ausnahmen abgesehen, weiter gestiegen, insbesondere unter älteren Erwachsenen. Die Anspannung auf dem Arbeitsmarkt lässt etwas nach, ist aber im Allgemeinen nach wie vor hoch.
- Click to access:
-
Click to download PDF - 591.33KBPDF