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The nineteenth edition of the Agricultural Outlook, and the ninth prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), provides projections to 2022 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. Notable in the 2013 report is the inclusion of cotton for the first time and a special feature on China.
Higher costs and strong demand are expected to keep commodity prices well above historical averages with a high risk of price volatility given tight stocks, a changeable policy environment and increasing weather-related production risks. China is projected to maintain its self-sufficiency in certain key food commodities while increasing its trade and integration in world agricultural markets.
This is the 18th edition of the Agricultural Outlook and the eighth prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations, and input from collaborating member countries. The report provides world market trends for biofuels, cereals, oilseeds, sugar, meats, fish and dairy products over the 2012-2021 period and contains an evaluation of recent developments, and key issues and uncertainties in those commodity markets. A jointly-developed modelling system, based on the OECD’s AGLINK and on the FAO’s COSIMO models, facilitates consistency in the projections. This edition includes a special feature on the challenge of increasing agricultural productivity growth in a sustainable manner.
This is the seventeenth edition of the Agricultural Outlook and the seventh co-edition prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). This report provides world market trends for biofuels, cereals, oilseeds, sugar, meats, dairy products and, for the first time, the fisheries sector over the 2011-20 period. This edition also includes an evaluation of recent developments, key issues and uncertainties in those commodity markets. The projections are the result of close co-operation with national experts in OECD and non-OECD countries. A jointly developed modelling system, based on the OECD’s AGLINK and on the FAO’s COSIMO models, facilitates consistency in the projections. In the context of the G20 discussions on agriculture, a section of the report is devoted this year to the policy responses to price volatility.
This is the sixteenth edition of the Agricultural Outlook and the sixth co-edition prepared by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). This edition covers the outlook for commodity markets during the 2010 to 2019 period, and brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations. The report analyses world market trends for the main agricultural products, as well as for biofuels. It provides an assessment of agricultural market prospects for production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices of the commodities analysed.
The macroeconomic assumptions that condition the commodity projections examined are more positive in this year’s edition as compared to last year. The anticipated return to global economic growth, a rising population, emerging biofuel markets, and a higher cost structure are expected to underpin international commodity markets and prices over the outlook period under study. Developing countries are expected to be the driving force behind the expected growth in agricultural production, consumption and trade.
This year’s report also includes a special section on price volatility and price transmission from world to domestic markets. Governments are concerned about price volatility because it affects farm viability, food security and needed investment. The report analyses the evidence of and changes in price volatility over the longer term and summarises policy advice from both FAO and OECD on this issue.
This edition of the Outlook was prepared in a period of unprecedented financial market turmoil and rapidly deteriorating global economic prospects. Because macroeconomic conditions are changing so quickly, this report complements the standard baseline projections with an analysis of revised short–term GDP prospects and alternative GDP recovery paths. Lower GDP scenarios result in lower commodity prices, with reductions in crop and biofuel prices about one-half those for livestock products. A sensitivity analysis to highly uncertain crude oil prices shows the important links between energy and agricultural prices. The Outlook also reports on a survey of various actors in the agri-food chain in terms of the current impacts of the global economic crisis and credit market constraints.
The issue of food security and the capacity of the agricultural sector to meet the rising demand for food remains very high on the international political agenda. This report provides a brief overview of critical factors such as land availability, productivity gains, water usage and climate change, and suggests that agricultural production could be significantly increased, provided there is sufficient investment in research, infrastructure and technological change, particularly in developing countries.
This 2008 edition of the OECD/FAO Agricultural Outlook covers the outlook for commodity markets during the 2008 to 2017 period, and brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both Organisations. The report analyses world market trends for the main agricultural products, as well as biofuels and provides an assessment of agricultural market prospects for production, consumption, trade, stocks and prices of the included commodities. This publication includes Statlinks, URLs linking to Excel® spreadsheet files containing background data, as well as a special chapter on high prices which analyses whether they are here to stay. The market projections cover OECD countries, as well as other key agricultural players including India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina, and many other non-OECD countries and regions. In total, the projections encompass 39 countries and 19 regions.
"...the single best source of statistical data and forecast analysis for the world's commodities markets. Highly recommended"
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This twelfth edition of the annual Agricultural Outlook - and the second prepared jointly with the FAO - provides an assessment of agricultural market prospects based on projections that extend to 2015 for production, consumption, trade, stocks and prices of mainly temperate zone agricultural commodities. These projections are based on specific assumptions regarding global macroeconomic conditions, population growth, national agricultural and trade policies, production technologies, and weather conditions. It shows how these markets are influenced by economic developments and government policies and highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that may influence market outcomes. In addition to OECD countries, the market projections in the report cover a large number of other countries and regions including the agricultural giants of India, China, Brazil and Russia as well as Argentina, South Africa and several least developed countries.
This eleventh edition of the Agricultural Outlook provides an assessment of agricultural market prospects based on medium-term projections that extend to 2014 for production, consumption, trade and prices of major agricultural commodities. It shows how these markets are influenced by economic developments and government policies and highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that might influence the outlook. This is the first edition of the Agricultural Outlook to include StatLinks, URLs for each graph and chart linking to spreadsheets providing underlying statistical data.
For the first time, it has been prepared jointly by the OECD and Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations (FAO), and thus draws on the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations. In this edition, the projections have been extended to cover a larger number of developing countries, including India and South Africa, in addition to Argentina, Brazil, China and Russia, and many more regions.
The projections presented in the report are based on specific assumptions regarding macroeconomic conditions, agricultural and trade policies and average weather conditions, and thus are one representative scenario for agricultural markets over the next decade.
This tenth edition of the OECD Agricultural Outlook analyses how global and domestic forces are shaping agricultural markets to 2013. It highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that may influence the agricultural outlook. After presenting a broad overview of the situation and setting out the assumptions used, the report presents detailed projections for production, consumption, trade, stocks, and prices for OECD countries as well as Argentina, Brazil, China, and Russia. Commodities covered include cereals, oilseeds, sugar, meat, and dairy. Two special chapters cover medium term market impacts of the 2003 EU Common Agricultural Policy reform and Indian agricultural policy challenges and market prospects.
The ninth edition of the OECD Agricultural Outlook analyses how global and domestic forces are shaping agricultural markets over the medium term. Continuing global economic weakness, compounded by drought-induced production adjustments in some countries, and government support policies are conditioning market outcomes in the near term. The interaction of these factors, together with an expected revival of the global economy in 2004 will help shape OECD and world agricultural markets up to 2008. This book provides valuable information on market trends and medium term prospects for the main agricultural products, including sugar on this occasion. It also shows how these are influenced by government policies and highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that may influence the Agricultural Outlook. Tables provide detailed commodity projections to 2008 for production, consumption, trade, stocks and prices in OECD countries and selected information on other countries, including China, Argentina, the Russian Federation and Brazil.
The OECD Agricultural Outlook 2002-2007, now in its eighth edition, shows that sluggish economic growth, weak demand and continued high levels of spending on farm support are slowing the recovery in world prices, despite a general tightening of supplies in recent years. An economic rebound and strengthening demand beginning in the second half of 2002 should lead to increased trade and higher prices over the projection period to 2007. This book provides valuable information on market trends and medium-term prospects for the main agricultural products, shows how these are influenced by government policies, and highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that may influence the agricultural outlook. It includes detailed commodity projections to 2007 for production, consumption, trade, stocks and prices of temperate-zone products in OECD countries, and presents selected information on other countries, including China, Argentina and the Russian Federation.
The seventh edition of the OECD Agricultural Outlook analyses how both global and domestic forces are impacting on the agricultural sector and shaping world and OECD agricultural markets up to 2006. Market fundamentals suggest that the low point of international price cycle has now been reached. This book provides the reader with valuable information on market trends and medium term prospects for the main agricultural products, shows how these are influenced by government policies, and highlights some of the risks and uncertainties that may influence the outlook. Tables provide detailed commodity projections to 2006 for production, consumption, trade, stocks and prices in OECD countries and selected information on other countries including China, Argentina and the NIS.
This fifth edition of the [OECD Agricultural Outlook] is published at a time of record low prices for many agricultural commodities. What have been the major reasons for the rapid price decline? How quickly will world markets recover? What are the implications of the financial crisis gripping countries of South East Asia, Russia and Latin America for the agricultural outlook? What key issues will OECD agricultural policy makers confront over the next 5 years? This publication analyses the major forces that will shape agricultural markets for the main temperate zone products up to 2004. It is essential reading for all those involved with agricultural policies and markets. It provides the reader with valuable information on market trends and commodity projections, shows how these are influenced by government policies, and highlights potential pitfalls that may influence the outlook. Many agricultural product prices are currently at historical lows due to a concurrence of large supplies and weak demand, with limited prospects of improvement until the turn of the century. Beyond this period, economic recovery in the crisis affected economies and supply adjustment in OECD countries should stimulate trade and result in generally higher prices for cereals, oilseeds, meat and dairy products into the new millennium. Continuing reform of agricultural and trade policies would strengthen these trends. A slowdown or reversal of policy reform, on the other hand, would make for a slower and less efficient recovery of agricultural commodity markets. But policies will also be shaped by a number of new issues which are emerging in such areas as food safety, animal welfare, farming methods, waste disposal and the environment. Policy responses by governments to these issues could have a significant impact on the longer term outlook. Tables provide detailed commodity projections to 2004 for production, consumption, trade, stocks and prices in OECD countries and selected information on other countries, including China, Argentina and the NIS. To access the complete database and selected results of scenarios discussed in the publication, please consult the OECD Agricultural Commodities Outlook Database. This database, available on CD-ROM and diskette, contains all market, economic and policy variables used in the outlook, with most series going back to 1970.
OECD in Figures is an original, simple to use, pocket data book. As ever, this 2009 edition contains key data on the OECD-wide economy, society and the environment. There are comparable tables on the entire spectrum of the organisation’s work, from national income and industry through employment and research to banking and public finances. Our customary OECD in Graphs section highlights key challenges such as public debt, joblessness and climate change.
OECD in Figures is a primary statistical source. As with all OECD data, it is compiled and checked by our experts, so that decision-makers in government, research and business know they can rely on it. OECD in Figures is the public gateway to one of the richest and most respected economic, financial, social and environmental databases around.
This 20th edition of OECD in Figures is an original, simple to use, pocket data book. It is a primary statistical source. As with all OECD data, it is compiled and checked by our experts, so that decision-makers in government, research and business know they can rely on it. OECD in Figures is the public gateway to one of the richest and most respected economic, financial, social and environmental databases around.
The 2008 edition of OECD in Figures contains key data ranging from economic growth and employment to education and migration. There are comparable tables on the environment, science, public finances, and on every theme the organisation is working on. For added perspective, OECD in Figures includes a selection of graphs, highlighting key challenges, such as public debt, climate change and development aid.
OECD in Figures is an original, simple to use, pocket data book. It is a primary statistical source. As with all OECD data, it is compiled and checked by our experts, so that decision-makers in government, research and business know they can rely on it. OECD in Figures is the public gateway to one of the richest and most respected economic, financial, social and environmental databases around.
The 2007 edition of OECD in Figures contains key data ranging from economic growth and employment to education and migration. There are comparable tables on the environment, science, public finances, and on every theme the organisation is working on. For added perspective, OECD in Figures includes a selection of graphs, highlighting key challenges, such as public debt, climate change and development aid.
OECD in Figures is OECD's pocket data book. It contains key data on OECD countries, ranging from economic growth and employment to trade and migration. There are comparable tables on the environment, science and public finances. For added perspective, OECD in Figures includes a selection of graphs, giving snapshots on subjects such as GDP, education spending, services trade, health funding, development aid and renewable energy. OECD in Figures 2005 is a StatLink publication. It includes links to downloadable Excel™ data underlying each chart and graph.