Browse by: "2024"
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The OECD has developed a database containing information on export restrictions on staple crops from 2007 onwards. This database provides detailed information for country-specific analysis and presents the information in an aggregate way so as to allow comparisons across countries, measures, and commodities. The structure of the database allows for tracking the evolution of these export restrictions over time.
Les Perspectives agricoles de l’OCDE et de la FAO 2024-2033 contiennent une évaluation consensuelle de ce que pourrait être l’évolution, sur les dix ans à venir, des marchés des produits agricoles, halieutiques et aquacoles.
L’édition de cette année met au jour des tendances majeures. Les économies émergentes exerceront une influence déterminante sur le paysage de l’agriculture mondiale, notamment l’Inde qui devrait ravir à la Chine sa place de premier plan. Pour autant, l’apport calorique dans les pays à faible revenu ne progresserait que de 4 %, d’après les projections. L’intensité des émissions de gaz à effet de serre d’origine agricole devrait diminuer, même si les émissions directes de l’agriculture augmenteront sans doute de quelque 5 %. Néanmoins, à supposer que les pertes et gaspillages alimentaires diminuent de moitié, d’ici à 2030, ces émissions pourraient baisser de 4 % à l’échelle mondiale, et le nombre de personnes sous-alimentées de 153 millions d’individus.
Le bon fonctionnement des marchés internationaux de produits agricoles demeurera essentiel à la sécurité alimentaire mondiale et à la subsistance des populations rurales. Compte tenu des évolutions attendues, les prix internationaux de référence réels devraient rester en léger recul tout au long de la décennie, si tant est que des facteurs environnementaux, sociaux, géopolitiques ou économiques ne viennent pas modifier sensiblement ces projections.
On trouvera de plus amples informations à l’adresse suivante : www.agri-outlook.org/fr/.
The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2024-2033 provides a consensus assessment of the ten-year prospects for agricultural commodity and fish markets.
This Outlook edition reveals important trends. Emerging economies will be pivotal in shaping the global agricultural landscape, with India expected to overtake China as the leading player. Yet calorie intake growth in low-income countries is projected to be only 4%. Agriculture's global greenhouse gas intensity is projected to decline, although direct emissions from agriculture will likely increase by 5%. If food loss and waste could be halved, however, this would have the potential to reduce both global agricultural GHG emissions by 4% and the number of undernourished people by 153 million by 2030.
Well-functioning international agricultural commodity markets will remain vital for global food security and rural livelihoods. Expected developments should keep real international reference prices on a slightly declining trend over the next ten years, although environmental, social, geopolitical, and economic factors could significantly alter these projections.
More information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.
Over 100 million workers in Southeast Asia have jobs that are directly or closely linked to the environment, making them vulnerable to climate change impacts. These same workers likely earn at least 20% lower than the national average and are largely in informal employment. The region’s necessary transition towards greener growth could affect them in several ways: some sectors will create jobs and others will lose jobs or disappear altogether. Understanding the effects of both climate change and green growth policies on jobs and people is thus essential for making the transition in Southeast Asia an inclusive one. The study explores these issues, with emphasis on the potential effects on labour of an energy transition in Indonesia, and of a transition in the region’s agricultural sector, illustrated by a simulated conversion from conventional to organic rice farming.
This report aims to provide G7 agricultural policy makers with insights to better understand the design, objectives and mechanisms of national and regional, voluntary and mandatory due diligence-related measures. The report creates a fact-based selective inventory for policy makers to identify common elements across the measures with a view to strengthening, where possible, coherence of G7 policy responses to promote responsible business conduct in agricultural supply chains. The inventory also aims to help companies understand different national and regional standards by highlighting synergies and, where applicable discrepancies, to enable and support effective implementation.